Weili Chiu is currently the CEO of Empire Capital, a single-family office investing in US listed equities. Prior to Empire Capital, he was a Proprietary macro trader for FX, equity indices, and commodities for a family office. In 2001-2009, he was the Head of the Quantitative Team at GIC where he managed a $500 million in USD multi- currency portfolio including option strategies.

Below are his views:

October 15, 2025

Macro update: Hefty ETFs inflows into the U.S. markets drives momentum as any dip is bought; expect S&P to peak at 6800.

July 2, 2025

Dollar in crisis due to big and beautiful bill; adding three trillion to the deficit every year; ten years 30 trillion. U.S. stock market is experiencing a bullish breakout over 4.9% corporate earnings growth in the second quarter. Target: 7000 in the S&P with a stoploss of 6100.

August 21, 2025

Macro update: expect a test of 4830 in the S&P 500 in coming quarters as tariff induced inflation ticks up due to front loading inventory drying up and firms pass price increases to consumers.

September 3, 2025

Macro update: Expect a move to 6182.9 this week in S&P and a rise of 350 pips thereafter.

January 11, 2026

Risk scenario for S&P is an outbreak of war with Iran.

An impressive gain of 30% of MSCI China in 2025 may induce institutional investors currently underweight China to be in line with their equity benchmarks; this could prompt a further rise of Chinese equities. The fundamental view behind the move in 2025 was sparked by deepseek’s release and more importantly fueled by the rise of innovation in China. China will shed its uninvestible status